Thus, while the last few Shemitahs have almost exactly correlated to market crashesand as Jonathan Cahn has said they may be indicative of a broader approaching judgment upon Americawe will not be able to use the Shemitah Effect to predict what will happen during the next Shemitah year in 2021-2022. 16 16 16 comments Best We are in a high-inflationary environment and a dysfunctional legislative branch. (Id much rather a divinity who manifests through, for example, a sunset, the theory of relativity or a childs smile.) Jonathan Cahn in his book The Mystery of the Shemitah maps out a number of major economic disturbances to recent Shemitah years; however, he leaves out any discussion of Shemitahs that didnt correlate to stock market downturns and he also leaves out downturns that didnt correlate to any Shemitah years. Lets have a look a couple of examples of stock markets crashes which fell all in Shemitah years. Unfortunately, markets have frequently taken this suggestion quite literally! We will also not be able to get rich off of playing the Shemitah cycles to our advantage. The biggest Wall Street crash of 1987 happened during Shemitah and so did the bond market carnage of 1994. Perhaps it was followed early in Israels history, during the time of the Judges and maybe during King Davids reign, but as Israel fell away from God with successive kings, the Shemitah was one of the first rules that fell away and was not fulfilled. "But the seventh year thou shall let it rest The first thing to ask is, What is the Shemitah Effect? To answer that question we need to first understand the Old Testament laws that created and govern the Shemitah (often called Shmita by the Jews). Welcome to our community. For instance, in the following figure, the Dow Jones Industrial Average stretching from the year 1900 to the autumn of 2015 is mapped with the Shemitah years highlighted as transparent yellow bars on top of the curve. In the following table, the 20 largest negative percent changes are shown for the Dow Jones Average since the beginning of the last century, and they are either positively or negatively correlated to a Shemitah event. All of you shall have the sabbath products of the land for food; yourself, and your male and female slaves, and your hired man and your foreign resident, those who live as aliens with you. 1979-1980 Shmita Year - U.S. and global recession. The price increase is higher than the salary increase, but we can always go to strike and demand a raise. On April 30, 1789 George Washington prophetically Before moving to Israel he was as an economist in the UK government. Thus, the 12 tribes of Israel and the families owning property within their territorial regions would never completely lose their land to another family or tribe. If the rise of a Personal debts are forgiven, and commitments to faith are renewed. What if we could engender the expectation that the seventh year will be a year of readjustment in national or global economics? In the year 2014-2015 the stock market is moving sideways and slows down within the established uptrend. Israel has two calendars; religious and civil. German, Austro-Hungarian, In this article I want to have a look at the Shemitah Cycle also known as the 7-year cycle. Markets therefore adjust swiftly and efficiently, remarkable renaissance of thinking and doing, Israel Unfiltered: The future of meeting up in person, The Next Web, ChatGPT, and The Creator Economy, Netanyahu to make statement to nation as bipartisan MKs call for judicial compromise, As protests sweep nation, police use aggressive means to clear Tel Aviv rally, Gantz to PM: Talk now before we face civil war; Herzog: Country could fall to abyss, Israel should wipe out Palestinian town of Huwara, says senior minister Smotrich. Through history, there has been a lot of economic action linked to these events. Please use the following structure: example@domain.com, Send me The Times of Israel Daily Edition. 1944-1945 Shmita Year - End of German Reich and Britain's hold on territories. The historical performance results for indices and index funds, used as proxies for indices, are provided exclusively for comparison purposes. Mike Wilson, the chief investment officer at Morgan Stanley, was the No. 1965-1966 Shmita Year - 23% stock market value wiped out. The message of shmita that a similar cycle applies over seven years has, so far, not. Global recession. If the reset is not expected, (and it usually isnt), experience shows that it comes upon us anyway, as a nasty surprise. The Shemitah is thus a radical concept that has no parallel among the nations and economic systems of the world. Now, Im nowhere near as confident as Mr. Cahan that the God I believe in talks to humankind through dives in the Dow Jones. We are about to experience two events described in the Bible, called the end of the sabbath year and the yubilee year. William Delbert Gann was a trader and analyst famous for making use of time cycles into his analysis. Written by John Ballard for The Motley Fool ->. Will the stock market crash at the end of this Jewish year? All during this one Shmita year. . You shall eat its crops out of the field. The worlds incessant drive for nonstop growth, greater revenues and profits, and more and more material things does not allow a year of rest for the land or a remission of debts or a release of slaves. Downturns occur for many more reasons than a Shemitah Effect. If the animal spirits are dimmed and the spontaneous optimism faltersenterprise will fade and diethe thought of ultimate loss is put aside as a healthy man puts aside the experience of death. This is what he wrote in Exodus: You shall sow your land for six years and gather in its yield, but on the seventh year you shall let it rest and lie fallow, so that the needy of your people may eat; and whatever they leave the beast of the field may eat. name for ourselves" Genesis 11:4. The impact of the However, none of what grew during the Shemitah year could be harvested and sold as it was during the other 6 years of a cycle. Britain, the world's greatest empire was almost bankrupt. You shall have the fiftieth year as a jubilee; you shall not sow, nor reap its aftergrowth, nor gather in from its untrimmed vines. On January 6th, I published my Predictions for 2022, where I wrote about a financial crisis, much worse than the one in 2008. To follow these laws, the people had to have a strong faith in God that He would get them through the years of no planting, no harvesting, and all this combined with the major economic releases of debt and property. What Cahn called significant did not really have scientific significance when all the data points are considered and analyzed according to standard statistical methods. Many would say that this is because it cant. However, the complete statistical analysis indicates that the correlation is poor at best. The cherry-picking effect is often the outcome of seeing a pattern related to some phenomenon or data set, but not going further to rigorously analyze the data in the proper way to see if it is real. Once the Jews were in their land, the Lord would similarly provide an increase in their crops to get them through the Shemitah year with no difficulty. BGC Partners, Inc. (Nasdaq: BGCP) ("BGC"), a leading global brokerage and financial technology company, today reported its financial results for the quarter and year ended December 31, 2022. Greed and bad economic practices often lead to economic busts that have nothing to do with the Shemitah Effect or its timing. Similarly, if someone bought a plot of land, then at the Year of Jubilee he would be required to freely return the property to its original owner (at no charge). 1937-1938 Shmita Year - 50% U.S. Stock market value wiped out. warning from God to come back to Him but the leaders of America quoted Isaiah 9:10 in defiance. Press J to jump to the feed. You can do anything you decide to do. The Shmita The Shemitah years of 1972-1973, 1979-1980, 1986-1987, 2000-2001, and 2007-2008 all correspond to concurrent or subsequent increases in the unemployment rate. Depending on the trend in the stock market I do think this year could be a remarkable year in the history of our economy. There can be no assurance that any specific investment or investment strategy (including the investment strategies devised or undertaken by Reppond Investments, Inc.) will be profitable for a clients or prospective clients portfolio. 1916-1917 Shmita Year - 40% U.S. Stock market value wiped out. According to the book of Leviticus, every set of seven Shemitahs was to be followed by a Year of Jubilee in which another major type of release was to take place. The easiest thing is to follow the crowd or ask a financial advisor. ", "Come, let us build ourselves a city, and a tower whose top is in the heavens; let us make a The goal of the Shmita Project is to significantly raise awareness of the concept of shmita in Jewish tradition, both as a way to learn about how extraordinary and rich Jewish tradition is, and to animate conversation and change in the world, based on the values and teachings of shmita and focus on environmental sustainability, rest and overwork, They year also strands for debt forgiveness to break debt cycles. This result is close to a 65% correlation of stock market downturns to the Shemitah year or its wake. This exact correlation is very interesting and I do see reasons to believe that this 7-year cycle has impact on mass human behavior which is influencing the financial markets. (You can check the numbers and dates here, here and here.) Reppond Investments, Inc. reserves the right to trade different ETFs or mutual funds within a strategy than those reflected in the graphic shown. God's calendar (opposite) intersects with two of our Gregorian years. From the following table it can be seen that 14 out of the 20 most significant point drops correlate to a Shemitah year or its wake. People simply cannot be wrong for long. All information is meant for public awareness and is public domain.This information is not intended to slander harm or defame any of the actors involved but to show what was said through their social media accounts.Please take this information and do your own research: bitcoin, cryptocurrency, crypto, altcoin, altcoin daily, blockchain, news, best investment, top altcoins, ethereum, best altcoin buys, 2021, top altcoins 2021, bitcoin crash, xrp, cardano, chainlink, ripple, buy bitcoin, yearn finance, bitcoin price prediction, Cryptocurrencies, cryptocurrency news, cryptocurrency news media, cryptocurrency investing, bitcoin news, Is now a good time to buy bitcoin, January 2022, defi, bitmex, cftc, arthur hayes, derivatives, binance, us crypto regulation, #bitcoin #cryptonews #altcoins No worries, just going about their lives as before. Occasionally, a person might be sold into indentured service, because he was poor or owed a debt he could not repay. By Cecilia Butini. The Shmita (judgment) and America converged on September 11, 2001 when the The current global economic system seeks to have continual growth with no room for Sabbath rests or Shemitahs. But I do believe in a God who communicates with us through the Torah. During Shmita years, the market has seen a decline 46% of the time. The Shemitah, however, would help smooth out economic ups and downs so that they would simply never occur catastrophically. This part of the Shemitah law related to loans made only by and between the people of Israel. A decade ago, Mike Maloney made an effort to explain it all through a series called Hidden Secrets of Money. This was a In Deuteronomy 15:4, the Lord even promised that there would be no poor among them if they followed these basic Shemitah principles. Poor people are often disregarded and thus remain poor, while the wealthy continually try to get more wealth and power while ignoring the aftereffects. Markets therefore adjust swiftly and efficiently when assets are mis-priced and so it is impossible, for mismatches between prices and real values to persist. America is the most powerful nation in the history of the world. But it never does. His writings and talks about the Shemitah are very interesting, and at least they should be read and understood by every Christian. Vis flere innlegg. Your email address will not be published. Adrian Zenz performed a more rigorous statistical analysis of the Shemitah Effect in a paper published in August, 2015 (see http://bit.ly/1LNdeKE). The conference call can be accessed live over the phone by dialing (412) 317-6346 or (844) 204-8586 from the U.S. Callers from Brazil can dial +55 11 3181-8565. Another way of analyzing the Shemitah Effect on the Dow Jones Average is to look at the 20 largest point drops in the stock market during single day crashes. These downturns are likely due to the fact that the worlds economies are not run according to the way God intended them to be run, and therefore over time they become increasingly chaotic and unpredictable. America is not prominent in Bible prophecy and therefore must fall from her position as the world's Superpower. There's been a major financial disruption in seven of the eight Shmita years dating back to 1966: Read more The war is far away, money isnt a big problem for us living in the wealthiest countries at least not yet. towers fell. It doesnt matter if hes right or wrong, what matters is you and your view of things. U.S. lost its first war - Vietnam And the deeper the illusions, the worse is the reckoning when it comes. This is an interesting question and one in which Jonathan Cahn proposed to answer in his books. This is what the Lord said through Moses in Deuteronomy: At the end of every seven years you shall grant a remission of debts. More specifically, the Shmita comes from the bible, where it states: The seventh year shall be a Sabbath of solemn rest for the land, (Lev. When you are sowing the eighth year, you can still eat old things from the crop, eating the old until the ninth year when its crop comes in.. hewn stones. But what does this have. What about the Shemitah? Create an account to follow your favorite communities and start taking part in conversations. While it had moved moderately higher since the start of the new year, shares of Nikola ( NKLA 1.35%) are driving lower, resulting in the stock landing in the red so far for 2023 . Think about this. You shall not do any work; it is a sabbath to the Lord in all your dwellings.. February 27, 2023 12:09 pm EST. The civil calendar year is the one that is used to determine the Shemitah year. This one-year extended rest would also help the soil recover from constant farming of the same crops, which can take important nutrients out of the earth. When you approach the end, you will see how things correspond to the world today. Since he used every major upturn and downturn in the stock market, bond market, and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the analysis, his conclusions were that there was very little statistical significance of the Shemitah Effect on these indicators. In this sense, we might expect to see periods of severe economic decline outside of a Shemitah period as the evil built into the economies of the world periodically breaks the system and creates downturns. idiot in office doubling down on freaking climate change, he will call for a National Climate Change emergency this fall right before elections then they can continue the narrative and cheat again to destroy our Nation. The fears are paper tigers. If Israel followed God, this two-year super-Shemitah would pose no problems for their food supply or for their economy. Perhaps the ancient Jews just knew. From these historical lessons, it can be said that the Shemitah can either be a blessing or a curse, depending on whether the nation followed God and these laws. Your email address will not be published. One part of the lesser-known laws related to the Sabbath and to the Shemitah. The greater the number of years left before the next Jubilee, the greater would be the value of the land and therefore the price. 1916-1917 Shmita Year - 40% U.S. Stock market value wiped out. The story behind the Shemitah is that the 7th year is the year of resting and releasing. According to recent publications, some authors have claimed that there really is such a force at work in our world. We know that this is true, at least in theory. In this way, all property bought and sold between Hebrews was really only rented for a time and not permanently transferred or lost. Table 2. When the United States is consumed by greed and ignores these biblical values, then God will wreak vengeance on America, through 9/11, stock market crashes, ISIS and other terrors. This widespread effect resulted in downturns or recessions built into Israels economy at regular intervals, which obviously had other consequences beyond just affecting farming families. The year of Shmita or Shemitah (meaning: letting go) also called the sabbatical year occurs every seventh September. but during the seventh year the land shall have a sabbath rest, a sabbath to the Lord; you shall not sow your field nor prune your vineyard. More information about cycles (including planetary cycles) are included In the cryptocurrency trading course. 2007-2008 Shmita Year - 50% U.S. Stock market value wiped out. You shall thus consecrate the fiftieth year and proclaim a release through the land to all its inhabitants. Maybe nothing goes down on that day. It seems very difficult though. Where the stock market was experiencing a major crash. On 29th Ellul, 5768, 29th September 2008, the Dow Jones Index fell 777.68 points, a little under 7%, the largest daily points drop ever, and on 29th Ellul 5761, 17th September 2001, the index plummeted 685 points the third largest one-day fall in history, a little over 7%. As the Lord promised in Leviticus 25:20-22 (quoted previously), the sixth year before a Jubilee would provide enough food to supply the people for a full 3 years; therefore God anticipated the need for an increased food supply during the longer Shemitah/Jubilee cycle. In the Law of Moses, there was one other instance where a set of seven time periods had an important affect upon Israel and their economy. As we saw for the downturns in the Dow Jones Average, there is an observed Shemitah Effect for some increases in the unemployment level, but not for all of them (correlation is 5 out of 10 or 50%). 1916-1917 - 40% of the US stock market value wiped out. A detail, but relevant right now, as the US is about to erase student debt. the realm of finances, economies and empires: (Its a translation with an introduction of part of Rav Kooks great book on Shmita, Shabbat Haaretz, since you are kind enough to ask.). The seventh year is meant to be a reset, a return to the real values that underpin our increasingly frantic efforts. Affiliate Login, The Shemitah Cycle Stock Market crash in 2021, Correlation Bitcoin dominance and the Bitcoin price. A book that I picked off the shelf last month in Hudsons News at Union Station in Washington DC is rather confident that it will. All of these downturns actually occurred during the Shemitah year or within a few months thereafter (i.e., in its wake). Filed Under: Extra, time-cycles Tagged With: 7 year cycle, collapse, crash, recession, shemitah, shmitah, stock market, time cycle, w d gann, VERY INTERESTING HAVE YOU DONE AN ANALYSIS HOW BITCOIN REACTED AT THESE TIMES Bro as btc looks like it has turned the corner now moving from BULL TO BEAR which would increase the stocks just in time for THE SHEMITAH Blessings Mike. This law ensured that Hebrew slaves would not be held as slaves forever, regardless of the debt they owed or the situation they found themselves in. The Lord promised that he would bless Israel if they followed his ways, and the weekly Sabbath and the seventh-year Shemitah would pose no problems, but be a great blessing. It shall be a jubilee for you, and each of you shall return to his own property, and each of you shall return to his family. 2022 was a nasty year for the stock market, but a wonderful one for market numerologists. To do so, you just have to make better decisions than most others. It would also prevent lower income families from sliding down further into poverty, because the seventh year would provide free food and an elimination of any debt they may have incurred. The S\u0026P 500 is a trademarked term of the McGraw Hill Company, and index data was compiled from sources we believe to be reliable. If you just look at the stock prices, things dont look bad stocks continue to rise. Different types of investments involve varying degrees of risk and there can be no assurance that any specific investment will be profitable or not.Reppond Investments, Inc. does not make any guarantee that our strategies will or are likely to achieve returns like those shown in the performance graph in this presentation. Vietnam and the Bitcoin price always go to strike and demand a raise `` but the leaders america... And commitments to faith are renewed ) intersects with two of our economy called the end, you see! 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